This is another excerpt from a chapter in a new book Steven Schaefer.
Part 3
Paleoclimatology Rules
Understanding paleoclimatology is key to understanding the climate. Three Ice Ages in the past 800,000 years (lasting approximately 120,000 years each) were interspersed with Interglacial Periods (lasting approximately 10,000 to 20,000 years each). There are hundreds of factors influencing the climate, but natural cycles are the main drivers. Most importantly are solar: maximum/minimum, sunspots, and Milankovitch (responsible for the major Ice Age cycles), and ocean cycles: Pacific Decadal (a major factor in the 18-year Pause), Northern Atlantic Oscillation, and ENSO events (La Niña, El Niño).
Most studies show that carbon dioxide levels rise after temperature rises, not before. Carbon dioxide levels ten to fifteen times higher than today’s have been identified in prior Ice Ages.
“If you repeat a lie often enough, people will believe it, and you will even come to believe it yourself.” “A lie told once remains a lie, but a lie told a thousand times becomes the truth.” Both of these statements are attributed to Joseph Goebbels.
• 97% of scientists believe man is responsible for climate change.
Study debunked, and even if a majority were to agree, science is not about consensus.
• There is an increase in severe weather. Nope!
• Sea level rise is accelerating and coastal cities will be underwater.
Nope! Sea level rise continues, but at approximately one foot per century.
• The oceans are turning acidic. Nope!
• Forest fires are increasing. Nope!
• We are experiencing a more rapid rate of species extinction. Nope!
• There is an increase in the frequency of droughts and floods. Nope!
• Hurricanes and tornadoes are increasing in frequency and severity. Nope! Tornadoes are in a 45-year decline.
• There is a massive surge in “climate refugees.” Nope!
• Polar bears are facing extinction. Nope! They are thriving.
• Coral reefs are suffering. Nope! Earlier damage has reversed and most coral reefs are thriving.
• The science is settled. Nope! Science is never settled. Scientific knowledge is determined by the scientific method, where theoretical predictions are validated by experiment and observation or are rejected for failing to do so.
• Renewable energy is clean, efficient, cheap and reliable. Nope! And it requires backup, natural gas or coal, when the wind doesn’t blow or the sun doesn’t shine.
“What historians will definitely wonder about in future centuries is how deeply flawed logic, obscured by shrewd and unrelenting propaganda, actually enabled a coalition of powerful special interests to convince nearly everyone in the world that carbon dioxide from human industry was a dangerous, planet-destroying toxin. It will be remembered as the greatest mass delusion in the history of the world—that carbon dioxide, the life of plants, was considered for a time to be a deadly poison.”
Richard Lindzen MIT researcher
4/11/23