Just this week some friends, Jack & Jill were scheduled to go to Florida. Now one might logically ask, “why go to Florida in the summer?” Well in this situation there was a double reason to go. First, they haven’t seen their daughter and three grandchildren for almost a year and a half, and they were going to meet them in South Florida because one of the boys was in a baseball tournament … probably multiple outdoor baseball games over a few days. However, and more important from my perspective, was that Jack was turning eighty. Baseball, birthday, and bonding time with grandchildren … sounded like the perfect juxtaposition.
They cancelled the trip!
Why? . . . “The ‘surging’ delta variant.” (Multiple times in the past I have warned about the term “surge” or “surging” as to me this word is one of the classic fear-mongering leftist descriptive terms, and when you hear it, you can predictably predict that sentiments of doom-and-gloom will inevitably follow.)
They cancelled their trip even though both are double vaccinated with the Moderna vaccine. Is the fear of the delta variant, rational or are they running scared as in the Roy Orbison sang?
“Just runnin’ scared each place we go
So afraid that it might show”
In general, life is all about the ubiquitous risk/reward ratio.
What are the actual facts concerning the delta variant?
Some facts from the New York Times:
• Vaccinated people are nearly guaranteed not to be hospitalized or killed by Covid. |
• Among children under 12, who remain ineligible for the vaccine, serious forms of Covid are also extremely rare. Children face bigger risks when they ride in a car. |
• The Delta variant does not appear to change either of those facts. |
• Millions of unvaccinated American adults are vulnerable to hospitalization or death from Covid |
From charts of new infections it is apparent that new cases
have risen only modestly among people over 65, suggesting that breakthrough infections are rare. “I think people who are vaccinated are not, on a population level, major contributors to the transmission of the disease,” said Dr. David Dowdy, a Johns Hopkins University epidemiologist, |
Continuing from the NYT:
It’s also important that the country not respond in ways that would do more harm than good — say, by delaying the full reopening of schools, Dowdy added. For vaccinated people, Covid still represents a very small risk, and the cost of our response should not exceed the benefits. |
Aha … here again is that ever present cost/benefit ratio.
Even though everyone has to make their own decisions … for me, it would not be close, . . . “what time do we board our flight to Florida?”
And while in Florida I would sing like Kool and the Gang:
“There’s a party goin’ on right here
A celebration to last throughout the years
So bring your good times and your laughter too
We gonna celebrate my turning eighty with you
Come on now
Celebration
Let’s all celebrate and have a good time
Celebration
We gonna celebrate and have a good time”
While I guess that it’s true that there will possibly be more of his grandson’s youth baseball games in Florida, Jack will only turn eighty once. Moreover tomorrow Jack could well be killed in an automobile accident and never see his grandkids again. For more than a month now, based on the 7-day average, Americans have had a less than a one-in-a-million chance of dying with COVID on any given day, and currently here in California daily “COVID deaths” are just barely outpacing automobile deaths.
7/31/21
www.californiacontrarian.com