Who ?

President Trump is going gangbusters on rallies since his recovery from Covid. These rallies are well attended . . . probably by a bunch of Trump retreads from 2016. Right?  Err, not exactly. In fact, many of these energetic individuals are not Trump voters from 2016. 

Who are they?

From GOP chairwoman, Ronna McDaniel, vis Townhall here are some of stats from recent rally signups.

Des Moines,

10,139 voters identified

48.5%  NOT Republican

29.4%  Democrat

25.0% did not vote in 2016

13.7% did not vote in the last 4 elections

GEORGIA,

11,940 voters 

21.8% Democrat, 

27.9% Black 

27.5% didn’t vote in 2016.

FLORIDA,

13,749 voters 

54.3% Women

23.8% not Republican 

24.4% didn’t vote in 2016.

Nevada,

15,038 signups for Carson City rally

18.4% not Republican

30.0% did not vote in 2016

Muskegon, Michigan,

11,842 voters matched

Only 48.3% Republican

36% who did not vote in 2016

Janesville, Wisconsin,

11,842 voters matched

Only 48.3% Republican

36% who did not vote in 2016

When you look at these stats, in general there are a few things that stand out concerning who is signing up for these Trump rallies.

First: 24-36% did not vote in the 2016 election. These are not potential cross-over voters, but rather “new” 2020 voters. If these new voters are interested in Trump rallies, it is reasonable to conclude that most of then will be voting for DJT.

Second: Not all of the signups identify as Republican, and for some of these rallies a fair number of signups (20+%) identify themselves as Democrats. Are these potential crossover voters?

Keep in mind that these stats are mainly from those who signed up for these rallies, and not all of the signups made it to these rallies. Be that as it may, these numbers are not what I would have anticipated from Trump rally signups.

I would agree with Ms. McDaniel that these numbers are both interesting and encouraging. Without question just attending a Trump rally would be an exciting, potentially bucket-list item. If one is a “no way am I voting for Trump” person, would he/she waste one’s time filling out a questionnaire, or going to a rally. Not likely.

Keep your fingers crossed, and may God bless America.

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