Occam’s Razor

Approximately one year ago (June 8, 2020 to be exact) I wrote the following to one of my sons-in-law. The letter speaks for itself:

“Dear XYZ,

I may pretend to be a lot of things, but one of them is not a virologist! Ergo, I do not know how/ when/ or why the coronavirus pandemic started.

However, we do know a few things.

– We know that the epicenter was Wuhan. We do not know where the virus initially originated, but we do know where the initial explosion of cases occurred. . . . Wuhan. The market in Wuhan was a more than likely a super-spreader event, and probably the initial super-spreader event.

– We also know that there a virology research lab in Wuhan. In fact that lab is very close to the market in Wuhan. 

So logically there are only two possibilities:

Either the virology lab and the initial epicenter (market) are related . . . or they are not related.

At present, I think it is reasonable to say, “we don’t know,” however if you follow Occam’s Razor, logically one would have to conclude at this point that these two are related. Otherwise one is left with the unlikely conclusion that the proximity of the virology lab to the market is a mere coincidence! Hmmm!

The other thing that causes my suspicion level to go up is the initial behavior of the Chinese. If the virus just happened to have its initial impact innocently in Wuhan, and this was all serendipity, why all the “hush-hush” by the Chinese? Again, using Occam’s Razor, one would have to conclude that some “funny business” was going on.

There is just too many coincidences here to think otherwise, and this has nothing to do with any “political pre-established narrative!”

Sincerely,

California Contrarian

For those of you not familiar with Occam’s Razor, the following is from Wikipedia:

“Occam’s razor, Ockham’s razor, Ocham’s razor, or the principle of parsimony or law of parsimony is the problem-solving principle that “entities should not be multiplied without necessity”, . . . sometimes paraphrased as “the simplest explanation is usually the best one.” 

People who have to use their brains for a living often use this basic principal, because while using this type of logical thinking, one will be right much more often than one will be wrong. Is it fool-proof? Obviously not.

Recently the new hot topic is the “Wuhan leak theory.” For those with short memories, back  in March, 2020 President Trump suggested that this is what occurred. So, one might ask, “Why did it take over a year for the MSM to say, ‘aha!’?”

  1. TDS (Trump Derangement Syndrome) – According to NYT, WAPO, CNN, MSNBC, etc. if Trump said it, it must be wrong . . . or at least they had to tell everyone that without question, “It is nonsense!”
  2. Those who work at NYT, WAPO, CNN, MSNBC, etc do not use Occam’s Razor type of thinking because thinking is never actually required in their job.
  3. Sleepy Joe has now decided to wake up and look into this!  From the Wall Street Journal Editorial Board: Mr. Biden is trying to cover for his embarrassing closure of the investigation because the dam has finally broken on the evidence that the virus may have escaped from the Wuhan Institute of Virology (WIV). The shame is that it took so long because the suspicious facts have been apparent from the start(WSJ). [FYI: Sleepy Joe thinks that Occam’s Razor is something similar to Gillette . . . perhaps we need to excuse him as he doesn’t actually think very often.]

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