Posted on by Californiacontrarian

My Election Forecast


I know that you are all anxiously waiting for my prediction for the upcoming election. In early to mid October, I felt that Biden was clearly going to be the winner, and felt that he would easily hold on.

Just over the last week or two some things have happened that I believe have influenced the independent voters. I do not think that all of the things I am going to detail below effected all independents the same. However, as I look back, I believed that some of these things could effect individual independent voters or more importantly groups of independent voters. 

The following are in no particular order:

Nuns in MAGA masks at Trump rally in Ohio; they were behind Trump and           were very enthusiastic for DJT.

Seals rescue American in Nigeria

Recent and ongoing Philadelphia riots

New Orleans police officer ambushed, shot in the face

Minnesota Dem. Governor and Dem. AG limiting Trump rally to 250;  (Gov. Tim Walz (D) and Attorney General Keith Ellison (D) said the              Trump campaign had to limit their rally to 250 people – hundreds,  maybe a thousand gathered in the adjacent parking lot)

Black women wanting better schools for their kids, and a recent Zoom  meeting with black pastors in which Trump vowed to help poorer children have “school choice.”

Biden’s almost pitiful attempt to coddle up to Florida’s Hispanic voters with some rap-like song. (Cubans in So. Florida are still reacting to Obama’s buddying up to Castro.)

Trump’s recent Peace Prize nominations 

Rappers Lil Wayne and Ice Cube both endorsing Trump

The Washington Examiner and the New York Post both endorsing Trump

The hectic pace of Trump the extremely enthusiastic rallies over the last few weeks, and especially the last few days . . .compared to the sad         almost sullen Biden rallies – no comparison.

Bobby Orr coming out for Trump in New Hampshire

Biden’s major debate faux pas when he said that he was going to end fracking

And finally, Trump coming down with Covid was a blessing in disguise.

Finally, my prediction:

Trump will win with at least 290 electoral votes. Biden could win the popular vote tally with a lot of basically useless Biden votes coming from the west coast (including California, and Wash/Ore), Illinois, New York, New Jersey, and basically all of New England. Despite the anticipated caterwauling from the Dems . . . “Like Hillary, Biden won the popular vote, he should be President” . . . tough, as the Electoral College is how the USA picks the winner.

Oh yeah, I almost forgot:

I am also predicting that the Republicans will hold on to the Senate with the Republicans taking two of the following four . . . Arizona, North Carolina,  Michigan, Iowa . . . on Trump’s coattails.

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