Although President Trump is only one and one-half years into his first term, this morning I wondered if the illegals in California would vote for him in the next presidential election. I realize that it is a little early to speculate on the 2020 election, but the economic growth has been great here in California. Okay, okay I am cognizant of the fact that the illegals voted overwhelmingly for Hillary in 2016. but is ‘t the saying, “It’s the economy, stupid!” whenever attempting to figure out why people vote the way that they do?
First let’s look at the facts before making a rash prediction about how the illegals are going to vote in 2020.
Job growth in California for 2017 was more robust than expected. The state added 366,000 jobs in 2017, which was 11,100 more that in 2016. UCLA Anderson forecast that job gains were likely to accelerate this year partially because of the federal tax cut package that took effect in January. In this past April unemployment in California was down to 4.2% which set another record surpassing the 4.3% record set in both February and March of this year. Throughout the state but especially in Northern California the unemployment numbers are hard to believe with rates of 2.1 in San Francisco and San Mateo, 2.2 in Marin, and 2.4 and 2.5 in Santa Clara and Sonoma respectively. Wow! Dios Mio! In Sacramento a Chick-Fillet was going to increase it’s minimum wage to $17.00 per hour in order to retain its workers. If they are willing to pay this amount, does it not mean that there are plenty of jobs available – jobs for everyone, legal or illegal?
Like I overheard in my local taco shop yesterday when someone asked, ”¿Por qué Señor Trump?” The response was, “¡Es la economía, estúpido!”
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